Blog | penaltyblog

What Is The Chance of Bradford City reaching Wembley?

Published on January 22, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

With League Two’s Bradford City only one match away from playing at Wembley in the League Cup final I thought it would be interesting to see what the chances were of them getting this far...

Predicting Football Matches Using Shot Data

Published on January 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Previously on this blog I have discussed my attempts at using the Poisson distribution to predict the number of goals scored in football matches. So far, the results have been...

Predicting The Premier League Using The Refined Pythagorean Equation

Published on January 18, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

New article for Betting Expert looking at the current Premier League standings compared with the predictions from my refined version of the Pythagorean Expectation.

How Early In The Season Can Pythagorean Predictions Be Made?

Published on January 02, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

The next stage for developing my refined version of the Pythagorean equation is to characterise how many weeks of data it actually needs to make accurate football predictions...

What Has Caused Dimitar Berbatov’s Recent Lack of Goals?

Published on December 15, 2012 by Martin Eastwood

Up until week 12 of the season, Dimitar Berbatov was one of the English Premier League’s top goal scorers and goal creators. However, since then he has gone 450 minutes without registering either a...

Using the Pythagorean Expectation Across Leagues Wordwide

Published on December 10, 2012 by Martin Eastwood

The next stage for my Pythagorean's development is to testing whether it can be applied to leagues outside the EPL. Having one Pythagorean equation that could be used globally is preferable to havi...

Applying the Pythagorean Expectation to Football: Part Two

Published on December 03, 2012 by Martin Eastwood

Part two of guide to applying the baseball pythagorean to football.

Applying the Pythagorean Expectation to Football: Part One

Published on November 26, 2012 by Martin Eastwood

Introduction to applying the baseball pythagorean to football.

Disparity in European Football Leagues

Published on November 20, 2012 by Martin Eastwood

Having mentioned the effect disparity plays on determining the league champions in previous posts I thought it would be interesting to look at the actual levels of disparity currently present in fo...

Analysis of André Villas-Boas Vs Harry Redknapp

Published on November 18, 2012 by Martin Eastwood

Since taking over as manager of Tottenham Hotspur, André Villas-Boas has been trapped in former Spurs manager Harry Redknapp’s shadow. Every tactical decision or team selection Villas-Boas makes is...

The Penalty Blog