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EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on March 08, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here we go again!

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on March 01, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Since last week’s predictions turned out to be so popular I thought I would continue testing the EI index in public so here are this week’s predictions. Fingers crossed they turn out well again!......

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on February 28, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Last week was a big test for my new EI index – it had finally reached the point where I was confident it was working well enough to post its predictions in public.

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on February 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

For a bit of fun, here is a trial run at predicting this weekend’s EPL matches using my EI ratings. I haven’t compared these with anyone else’s odds yet but they generally look about what I would h...

Introducing the Eastwood Index

Published on February 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

On the whole, the Elo system works okay but it was not designed with football in mind and so there are some issues with it - for example it can only handle two distinct outcomes – winning and losin...

Understanding Elo Ratings Part Two

Published on February 07, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Now that we understand the theory behind Elo ratings, let’s take a look at how to calculate them and how to make them more relevant to football...

Understanding Elo Ratings

Published on January 31, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

The Elo rating system was originally devised by its creator Arphad Elo as a way to calculate the average skill levels of two chess players. Although the system was created specifically for chess it...

Predicting Football Matches Using Shot Data Part Two

Published on January 25, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Having found that the correlation between goals scored and shots on target was the strongest of the various shooting variables I had available to me, I decided to see how well they could predict th...

What Is The Chance of Bradford City reaching Wembley?

Published on January 22, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

With League Two’s Bradford City only one match away from playing at Wembley in the League Cup final I thought it would be interesting to see what the chances were of them getting this far...

Predicting Football Matches Using Shot Data

Published on January 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Previously on this blog I have discussed my attempts at using the Poisson distribution to predict the number of goals scored in football matches. So far, the results have been...

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