Archives
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January 08, 2025 - Calculating Expected Threat in Python Using Linear Algebra
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December 02, 2022 - Estimating Goal Expectancy From Bookmaker's Odds
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November 04, 2022 - Penaltyblog Python Package Updated to v0.5.1
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October 18, 2022 - Ten Years of pena.lt/y/blog
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August 05, 2022 - Scraping Football Data Using the penaltyblog Python Package
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August 25, 2021 - Predicting Football Results Using Bayesian Modelling with Python and PyMC3
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June 24, 2021 - Predicting Football Results Using Python and the Dixon and Coles Model
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June 18, 2021 - Predicting Football Results With the Poisson Distribution
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May 19, 2021 - Which Young Players Will be Stars?
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May 03, 2021 - Predicting Player Career Trajectories
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November 23, 2019 - Sharing xG Using Multi-touch Attribution Modelling
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August 22, 2019 - VAR, What is it Good For?
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November 21, 2018 - Opta Pro Forum 2018
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May 25, 2018 - Automated Feature Engineering
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September 11, 2017 - Deep Learning in R Using Keras
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July 17, 2017 - An Alternatve to Radars for Visualising Football Data
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March 11, 2017 - Opta Pro Forum 2017
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December 20, 2016 - Opta Pro Forum 2016
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June 30, 2016 - A Footballer Recommendation Engine
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April 29, 2016 - Expected Goals and Uncertainty
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March 21, 2016 - Ranking Football Teams Using Google's Page Rank Algorithm
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February 29, 2016 - It’s Not Just The Money: Quality of Signings Suggest China Could Become a Major Power in Club Football
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December 12, 2015 - Frequency of Draws in Football
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November 24, 2015 - Updated Massey Ratings
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August 07, 2015 - Mathematically Optimising Your Fantasy Football Team: Redux
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July 13, 2015 - Expected Goals And Support Vector Machines
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April 23, 2015 - PlayerRatings And False Negatives
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April 09, 2015 - Backtesting PlayerRatings
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March 09, 2015 - PlayerRatings And Team Quality
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February 26, 2015 - PlayerRating: A Bayesian Method For Evaluating Football Players
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January 21, 2015 - Mathematically Optimising Your Fantasy Football Team: Update
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December 04, 2014 - Massey Ratings For Football Part Two
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November 27, 2014 - Massey Ratings For Football Part One
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November 04, 2014 - English Premier League Pythagorean
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November 02, 2014 - Predicting Football Using R
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August 28, 2014 - Expected Goals: Foot Shots Versus Headers
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July 24, 2014 - Mathematically Optimising Your Fantasy Football Team
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April 22, 2014 - Expected Goals And Exponential Decay
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April 16, 2014 - Expected Goals: The Y Axis
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April 04, 2014 - English Premier League Pythagorean Update
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March 01, 2014 - Expected Goals Updated
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February 15, 2014 - Actual Goals Versus Expected Goals
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February 12, 2014 - Expected Goals For All
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February 10, 2014 - Comparing Players Using Cluster Analysis
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January 20, 2014 - EPL 2013/2014: Football Pythagorean So Far
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September 30, 2013 - UEFA Champions League – Route To The Final
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August 30, 2013 - Analysing Football Teams Using Cluster Analysis and Principal Component Analysis
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June 19, 2013 - Anouncement
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May 23, 2013 - Betting With The Eastwood Index And Kelly Criterion
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May 21, 2013 - Did The Eastwood Index Beat The Bookmakers?
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May 17, 2013 - EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League
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May 10, 2013 - EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League
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May 10, 2013 - MLS Player Salaries: 2013
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May 07, 2013 - The Eastwood Index, MLS and Parity
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May 03, 2013 - EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League
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May 02, 2013 - How Much Does Luck Affect MLS?
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April 30, 2013 - How Much Does Luck Affect Football?
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April 28, 2013 - What Is A Meaningful Sample Size?
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April 26, 2013 - EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League
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April 19, 2013 - EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League
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April 12, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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April 05, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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April 02, 2013 - Understanding Total Shot Ratio in Football
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March 28, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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March 21, 2013 - How Accurate Are The EI Football Predictions?
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March 13, 2013 - Is Brendan Rogers Improving Liverpool?
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March 08, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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March 01, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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February 28, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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February 21, 2013 - EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League
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February 21, 2013 - Introducing the Eastwood Index
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February 07, 2013 - Understanding Elo Ratings Part Two
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January 31, 2013 - Understanding Elo Ratings
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January 25, 2013 - Predicting Football Matches Using Shot Data Part Two
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January 22, 2013 - What Is The Chance of Bradford City reaching Wembley?
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January 21, 2013 - Predicting Football Matches Using Shot Data
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January 18, 2013 - Predicting The Premier League Using The Refined Pythagorean Equation
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January 02, 2013 - How Early In The Season Can Pythagorean Predictions Be Made?
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December 15, 2012 - What Has Caused Dimitar Berbatov’s Recent Lack of Goals?
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December 10, 2012 - Using the Pythagorean Expectation Across Leagues Wordwide
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December 03, 2012 - Applying the Pythagorean Expectation to Football: Part Two
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November 26, 2012 - Applying the Pythagorean Expectation to Football: Part One
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November 20, 2012 - Disparity in European Football Leagues
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November 18, 2012 - Analysis of André Villas-Boas Vs Harry Redknapp
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November 12, 2012 - Effect of Season Length on Deciding the League Champion
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November 08, 2012 - How Often Does The Best Team Win The League?
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November 02, 2012 - The Poisson Model So Far
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October 29, 2012 - Using Poisson to Predict Football Matches
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October 26, 2012 - Influence Of Clean Sheets
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October 22, 2012 - Football + Mathematics
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October 19, 2012 - It's Fergie Time
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October 18, 2012 - Hello World