Insights, research, and analysis on football analytics
My Twitter feed seems to be increasingly taken up with discussions of Expected Goals in football yet there always seems to be something important missing from the discussion, and that's uncertainty...
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I've discussed various techniques for ranking football teams on my blog before, such as using Massey Ratings to account for strength of schedule, but I've not covered Google's PageRank yet...
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John Burn-Murdoch and the Financial Times have used my PlayerRatings model to analyse the recent flux of players moving to teams in the Chinese Super League - you can read the full article here...
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There has been some discussion and misunderstanding around the low frequency of draws in football on my Twitter feed recently so I thought I'd just give a quick recap around why the probabilities of draws are so low...
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Updated Massey ratings for the English Premier League showing how well teams are really doing when you account for their strength of schedule...
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The Premier League’s fantasy football is back ready for the new season so I thought I’d run through an example of how linear programming can help you mathematically select your team.
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I've written about expected goals on this website before but I've changed approach recently so I thought I'd write up some of the different ideas I've been playing around with...
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My last article looked at how well my PlayerRatings model predicted which young players would go on to have successful careers. This time we explore false negatives - which top players may have wrongly had low PlayerRatings in their youth...
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Following my last article discussing my PlayerRating model for quantifying footballers, JackIO challenged me to test the model by looking at what young players it recommended...
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My previous article introduced PlayerRatings, a mathematical model I’ve been working on over the past few months to quantify the ability of individual footballers. One of the nice characteristics of this approach is that player ratings can be aggregated together to create team...
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