The Penalty Blog

Insights, research, and analysis on football analytics.

Analysing Football Teams Using Cluster Analysis and Principal Component Analysis

Published on August 30, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

The amount of football data available is growing rapidly – with every passing week of the season more matches are played and even more data gets collected. This is great as it allows us to increase...

Read More
Anouncement

Published on June 19, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

You may have noticed that my blogging has slowed down over the past few weeks and the reason is that I have joined Onside Analysis as a computational statistician.

Read More
Betting With The Eastwood Index And Kelly Criterion

Published on May 23, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

I demonstrated in my last post that the odds calculated using the Eastwood Index were slightly more accurate than the bookmakers over the course of the football season. My next goal is to work out ...

Read More
Did The Eastwood Index Beat The Bookmakers?

Published on May 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

It’s the end of the season so it’s time to review how the Eastwood Index performed over the year and how it compared with the bookmakers...

Read More
EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 17, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

We have finally reached the end of the season so for the last time in 2012-2013 here are the Eastwood Index’s (EI) probabilities for the English Premier League...

Read More
EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 10, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...

Read More
MLS Player Salaries: 2013

Published on May 10, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

The latest Major League Soccer (MLS) salaries were released recently by the MLS Players’ Union so I thought I would post a quick summary of the data...

Read More
The Eastwood Index, MLS and Parity

Published on May 07, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

I showed in my last post how Major League Soccer (MLS) is a much more closely matched league than the English Premier League (EPL), with the wage cap and draft system increasing the parity between ...

Read More
EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 03, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...

Read More
How Much Does Luck Affect MLS?

Published on May 02, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Following my recent article for Betting Expert quantifying how large a role luck plays in the English Premier League (EPL) I thought it would be interesting to look at Major League Soccer (MLS) too...

Read More