The Penalty Blog

Insights, research, and analysis on football analytics.

Did The Eastwood Index Beat The Bookmakers?

Published on May 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

It’s the end of the season so it’s time to review how the Eastwood Index performed over the year and how it compared with the bookmakers...

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EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 17, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

We have finally reached the end of the season so for the last time in 2012-2013 here are the Eastwood Index’s (EI) probabilities for the English Premier League...

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EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 10, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...

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MLS Player Salaries: 2013

Published on May 10, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

The latest Major League Soccer (MLS) salaries were released recently by the MLS Players’ Union so I thought I would post a quick summary of the data...

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The Eastwood Index, MLS and Parity

Published on May 07, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

I showed in my last post how Major League Soccer (MLS) is a much more closely matched league than the English Premier League (EPL), with the wage cap and draft system increasing the parity between ...

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EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 03, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...

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How Much Does Luck Affect MLS?

Published on May 02, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Following my recent article for Betting Expert quantifying how large a role luck plays in the English Premier League (EPL) I thought it would be interesting to look at Major League Soccer (MLS) too...

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How Much Does Luck Affect Football?

Published on April 30, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

I’ve written a new article for Betting Expert quantifying how much luck affects football...

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What Is A Meaningful Sample Size?

Published on April 28, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

I had an article published at Betting Expert last week looking at how to determine statistically how much data you need to make accurate predictions...

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EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on April 26, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

It’s been a busy day but I’ve finally got the probabilities for this weekend’s matches completed....

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