This article looks at how to predict football results using a Bayesian hierarchical model built in Python and PyMC3...
Building on the last article, we upgrade our Poisson model with the Dixon and Coles adjustment and time decay...
I recently gave a presentation to the Manchester R Users' Group discussing how to predict football results using R. My presentation gave a brief overview of how to create a Poisson model in R and apply the Dixon and Coles adjustment to it to account for dependance in the scores.