Updated Massey ratings for the English Premier League showing how well teams are really doing when you account for their strength of schedule...
In part one I introduced Massey Ratings and how they can be used to rank football teams in a way that accounts for their strength of schedule. Next, we’ll take a look at how Massey Ratings can be extended further to look at team’s attack and defence strength separately.
We all know the league table can lie and one of the common causes of this is strength of schedule. Take Southampton, at the time of writing they are currently second in the Premier League twelve matches in yet still haven’t played...
I’ve not posted this for a while so here is the latest Pythagorean for the English Premier League.
I’ve not posted an update on the Pythagorean for the English Premier League (EPL) for a while so the latest figures are below.
Welome back! Now that I'm no longer part of Onside Analysis I'm free to start blogging again so let's start off by taking a look at how my football Pythagorean is doing for the English Premier League so far this season.
I demonstrated in my last post that the odds calculated using the Eastwood Index were slightly more accurate than the bookmakers over the course of the football season. My next goal is to work out the optimal way of using this edge to make a profit, starting off with the Kelly Criterion...
It’s the end of the season so it’s time to review how the Eastwood Index performed over the year and how it compared with the bookmakers...
We have finally reached the end of the season so for the last time in 2012-2013 here are the Eastwood Index’s (EI) probabilities for the English Premier League...
Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...
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