December 02, 2022
Estimating Goal Expectancy From Bookmaker's Odds
This article walks through how to estimate goal expectancies from bookmaker's odds using Python...
Read moreThe Penalty Blog
Insights, research, and analysis on football analytics
November 04, 2022
Penaltyblog Python Package Updated to v0.5.1
My penaltyblog python package has been updated to v0.5.1 to include new Bayesian football (soccer) models and web scrapers...
Read more
October 18, 2022
Ten Years of pena.lt/y/blog
It's been ten years since I started this blog...
Read more
August 05, 2022
Scraping Football Data Using the penaltyblog Python Package
This article shows how to use the penaltyblog python package to scrape football data...
Read more
August 25, 2021
Predicting Football Results Using Bayesian Modelling with Python and PyMC3
This article looks at how to predict football results using a Bayesian hierarchical model built in Python and PyMC3...
Read more
June 24, 2021
Predicting Football Results Using Python and the Dixon and Coles Model
Building on the last article, we upgrade our Poisson model with the Dixon and Coles adjustment and time decay...
Read more
June 18, 2021
Predicting Football Results With the Poisson Distribution
A tutorial about predicting football results using Python and the Poisson distribution...
Read more
May 19, 2021
Which Young Players Will be Stars?
Using my Player Ratings model to identify the best footballing prospects...
Read more
May 03, 2021
Predicting Player Career Trajectories
Predicting what player's potential career trajectories look like...
Read more
November 23, 2019
Sharing xG Using Multi-touch Attribution Modelling
Reattributing xG using multi-touch attribution modelling...
Read more