Published on March 10, 2025 by Martin Eastwood
Comparing football goals models — Poisson, Dixon-Coles, and more — to see which predicts best and how to optimize them...
Read MorePublished on August 25, 2021 by Martin Eastwood
This article looks at how to predict football results using a Bayesian hierarchical model built in Python and PyMC3...
Read MorePublished on June 24, 2021 by Martin Eastwood
Building on the last article, we upgrade our Poisson model with the Dixon and Coles adjustment and time decay...
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