Articles Tagged "Dixon and Coles"

Football Prediction Models: Which Ones Work the Best?

Published on March 10, 2025 by Martin Eastwood

Comparing football goals models — Poisson, Dixon-Coles, and more — to see which predicts best and how to optimize them...

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Predicting Football Results Using Bayesian Modelling with Python and PyMC3

Published on August 25, 2021 by Martin Eastwood

This article looks at how to predict football results using a Bayesian hierarchical model built in Python and PyMC3...

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Predicting Football Results Using Python and the Dixon and Coles Model

Published on June 24, 2021 by Martin Eastwood

Building on the last article, we upgrade our Poisson model with the Dixon and Coles adjustment and time decay...

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