Articles Tagged "Betting"

Football Prediction Models: Which Ones Work the Best?

Published on March 10, 2025 by Martin Eastwood

Comparing football goals models — Poisson, Dixon-Coles, and more — to see which predicts best and how to optimize them...

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Estimating Goal Expectancy From Bookmaker's Odds

Published on December 02, 2022 by Martin Eastwood

This article walks through how to estimate goal expectancies from bookmaker's odds using Python...

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Predicting Football Results Using Python and the Dixon and Coles Model

Published on June 24, 2021 by Martin Eastwood

Building on the last article, we upgrade our Poisson model with the Dixon and Coles adjustment and time decay...

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Predicting Football Results With the Poisson Distribution

Published on June 18, 2021 by Martin Eastwood

A tutorial about predicting football results using Python and the Poisson distribution...

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