Articles Tagged "Bayesian"

Why I Wrote My Own MCMC Sampler for Penaltyblog

Published on January 08, 2026 by Martin Eastwood

I've added a native, dependency-free Bayesian engine to penaltyblog, powered by a custom Cython MCMC sampler to make quantifying uncertainty fast and frustration-free...

Shrinkage, Uncertainty, and Son Heung-min: Using Bayesian Methods to Identify Finishing Ability

Published on October 01, 2025 by Martin Eastwood

Why most finishing metrics are flawed and how a Bayesian approach gives us a truer picture of a player's finishing ability...

Predicting Football Results Using Bayesian Modelling with Python and PyMC3

Published on August 25, 2021 by Martin Eastwood

This article looks at how to predict football results using a Bayesian hierarchical model built in Python and PyMC3...