The Penalty Blog

Insights, research, and analysis on football analytics

Betting With The Eastwood Index And Kelly Criterion

Betting With The Eastwood Index And Kelly Criterion

I demonstrated in my last post that the odds calculated using the Eastwood Index were slightly more accurate than the bookmakers over the course of the football season. My next goal is to work out the optimal way of using this edge to make a profit, starting off with the Kelly...

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MLS Player Salaries: 2013

MLS Player Salaries: 2013

The latest Major League Soccer (MLS) salaries were released recently by the MLS Players’ Union so I thought I would post a quick summary of the data...

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The Eastwood Index, MLS and Parity

The Eastwood Index, MLS and Parity

I showed in my last post how Major League Soccer (MLS) is a much more closely matched league than the English Premier League (EPL), with the wage cap and draft system increasing the parity between teams...

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How Much Does Luck Affect MLS?

How Much Does Luck Affect MLS?

Following my recent article for Betting Expert quantifying how large a role luck plays in the English Premier League (EPL) I thought it would be interesting to look at Major League Soccer (MLS) too...

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