EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 10, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI).

Somewhat surprisingly, Liverpool are only just favorites to beat Fulham with the odds so close that a draw would seem the likely outcome.

Down at the bottom of the table Newcastle versus QPR and Norwich versus West Brom look likely to finish tied, while Sunderland are slight favorites against Southampton meaning Wigan desperately need to take points off Arsenal to stand any chance of avoiding relegation.

Home Team Away Team Home (%) Draw (%) Away (%)
Aston Villa Chelsea 21 32 47
Stoke Tottenham 24 32 44
Everton West Ham 67 20 12
Fulham Liverpool 31 33 36
Norwich West Brom 37 32 31
QPR Newcastle 32 32 35
Sunderland Southampton 49 29 22
Man United Swansea 76 15 9
Arsenal Wigan 71 18 11
Reading Man City 8 28 64

Tags: EI EPL