Articles Tagged "EI" | Penalty Analytics

Betting With The Eastwood Index And Kelly Criterion

Published on May 23, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

I demonstrated in my last post that the odds calculated using the Eastwood Index were slightly more accurate than the bookmakers over the course of the football season. My next goal is to work out ...

Did The Eastwood Index Beat The Bookmakers?

Published on May 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

It’s the end of the season so it’s time to review how the Eastwood Index performed over the year and how it compared with the bookmakers...

EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 17, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

We have finally reached the end of the season so for the last time in 2012-2013 here are the Eastwood Index’s (EI) probabilities for the English Premier League...

EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 10, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...

EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on May 03, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here are the latest match probabilities for the English Premier League calculated using the Eastwood Index (EI)...

EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on April 26, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

It’s been a busy day but I’ve finally got the probabilities for this weekend’s matches completed....

EI Match Probabilities for the English Premier League

Published on April 19, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

It’s been a busy day but I’ve finally got the probabilities for this weekend’s matches completed....

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on April 12, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here we go with this week’s predictions from the Eastwood Index (EI)!...

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on April 05, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

A couple of weeks back I demonstrated how the EI is more accurate than the bookies based on rank probability scores but a few people have asked if I can do something a bit simpler so...

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on March 28, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

After last week’s international matches, domestic football is finally back so here are this weekend’s match predictions using my EI predictive model. Let’s see if it can keep up its good form and c...

How Accurate Are The EI Football Predictions?

Published on March 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Unfortunately time caught up with me last week and I was unable to post any predictions from my Eastwood Index. However, since then I have been busy validating the results to see how accurate the p...

Is Brendan Rogers Improving Liverpool?

Published on March 13, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

As well as using my EI Index to predict future matches, it can also be used to look back at how team’s performances have changed over time. An interesting example is Liverpool, who sacked Kenny Da...

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on March 08, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Here we go again!

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on March 01, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Since last week’s predictions turned out to be so popular I thought I would continue testing the EI index in public so here are this week’s predictions. Fingers crossed they turn out well again!......

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on February 28, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

Last week was a big test for my new EI index – it had finally reached the point where I was confident it was working well enough to post its predictions in public.

EI Match Predictions for the English Premier League

Published on February 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

For a bit of fun, here is a trial run at predicting this weekend’s EPL matches using my EI ratings. I haven’t compared these with anyone else’s odds yet but they generally look about what I would h...

Introducing the Eastwood Index

Published on February 21, 2013 by Martin Eastwood

On the whole, the Elo system works okay but it was not designed with football in mind and so there are some issues with it - for example it can only handle two distinct outcomes – winning and losin...