Here we go again!
Last Week was another success for the EI, with seven out of the ten predicted favourites winning their matches. It is still a bit early to be drawing too many conclusions but so far that is 14 out of 19 for the EI, which seems a pretty good start to me!
Jonas commented on my recent post discussing the difficulties of assessing probability-based models to suggest trying Ranked Probability Scores which looks like a really good idea so look out for that once I have a bit more data to play with.
It is only a small gameweek this week due to the FA cup but here are the predictions anyway.
| Home Team | Away Team | Home (%) | Draw (%) | Away (%) |
| Norwich | Southampton | 48 | 24 | 28 |
| QPR | Sunderland | 36 | 27 | 37 |
| Reading | Aston Villa | 42 | 26 | 32 |
| West Brom | Swansea | 46 | 25 | 29 |
| Newcastle | Stoke | 49 | 24 | 27 |
| Liverpool | Tottenham | 38 | 27 | 35 |
Chris Pope - March 8, 2013
I am only a curious amateur stat freak , but love how close this weeks predictions are. Love the blog and am telling everyone about it.
Martin Eastwood - March 9, 2013
Thanks Chris :)
It is a really tough week to predict so I expect the accuracy of the EI to drop a bit but over enough data it should all cancel itself out as will be some easier weeks too.
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Thanks!